Germany

Government advisories are the highest-weighted signal (50%) because they already absorb granular crime, terrorism, kidnapping and political-stability intelligence. A Level 2 (Increased Caution) advisory means there are localised risks — usually petty crime, occasional protests, or health concerns — but most travellers visit without incident.

Level 1

Normal precautions

Level 2

Increased caution

Level 3

Reconsider travel

Level 4

Do not travel

ACLED tracks political violence and protest events around the world. Scores above 85 indicate near-zero recorded violent incidents; sub-50 reflects active conflict zones with frequent armed events.

≥ 85

Nominal

60–84

Localised tension

30–59

Active unrest

< 30

Open conflict

Open-Meteo gives us live conditions at the capital plus a 3-day forecast. We penalise extremes that disrupt travel: heatwaves, deep cold, sustained gales and heavy rainfall (flood risk). Today at the capital: current 24°C, peaks 28°C, 5 km/h wind, 6 mm rain. Calm seasonal weather scores 95+.

Temp

Penalised < -15°C or > 35°C

Wind

Storm warning > 40 km/h sustained

Rain

Flood risk > 20 mm in 24h

Forecast

Looks 3 days ahead at the capital

Two layers feed this score: WHO Disease Outbreak News (acute risk — ebola, mpox, cholera, marburg, etc.) and Global Health Observatory indicators (PM2.5 air quality, life expectancy) for chronic context. Drivers here: life expectancy 80.5 yrs.

Outbreaks

WHO DON keyword matches (ebola, mpox, cholera…)

PM2.5

WHO safe limit 5 µg/m³ · penalty > 35

Life exp.

Long-run health context

≥ 85

No active outbreaks or chronic risk